I recommend 4CF as a dependable partner in Strategic Foresight and Futures Literacy for policy-making and Strategy.
Project results as well as the process whereby they were obtained have me convinced as to the professionalism and innovativeness of 4CF on the Polish market.
Kongsberg Defence & Aerospace Polska
4CF provided foresight expertise at a highest level of professional skill.
Norwegian Public Road Administration
4CF experts successfully implemented a Real-Time Delphi tool - HalnyX - for the needs of an expert study.
Deloitte Advisory Sp. z o.o.
4CF offers the highest quality of Business Foresight services
Our client was a well-known national security think-tank. For the purposes of compiling a recommendation as to the development of military potential and thus also the development of strategic deterrence, the client expressed the need for a realistic outside security threat scenario which would test the potential for escalation and deescalation for a given structure of effectors (i. a. submarine cruise missiles, rocket artillery, special forces).
4CF chose a comprehensive approach, which encompassed a study project, a proprietary scenario generating process, the facilitation and moderation of the game and reporting. We carried out a decision-making game, the mechanics to which were a creative reworking of “The Day After” method, used i. a. By RAND. Leading Polish security and international relations experts participated in the game and it was based on a hypothetical security crisis in the Baltic States. It was a pioneer study on a national scale due to its dual nature: it combined analytical workshops and political/military simulations.
The effects from the client’s perspective:
Thanks to 4CF, the client was the first think-tank in Poland to present an objective, in-depth and original scenario of a hypothetical security crisis in the Baltic States to a wide circle of experts. The scenario served as a basis for recommendations as to defence policies.