4CF Surf the Future

I recommend 4CF as a dependable partner in Strategic Foresight and Futures Literacy for policy-making and Strategy.

Riel Miller, Foresight Director,

Project results as well as the process whereby they were obtained have me convinced as to the professionalism and innovativeness of 4CF on the Polish market.

Krystian Chmielewski, VicePresident
Kongsberg Defence & Aerospace Polska

4CF provided foresight expertise at a highest level of professional skill.

Alberte Ruud, Senior Advisor,
Norwegian Public Road Administration

4CF experts successfully implemented a Real-Time Delphi tool - HalnyX - for the needs of an expert study.

Irena Pichola, Partner, Member of the Board,
Deloitte Advisory Sp. z o.o.

4CF offers the highest quality of Business Foresight services

Marcin Kubajczyk, Marketing Director,
Hoop Polska
Case study

Testing response ability in the course of decision-making games which simulate various international situation scenarios for a chief administrative body.

Obszar: Preparation
Metody: Decision Making

Strategia i program rozwoju

The task::

Our client, a chief administrative body, was conducting a major internal planning and development programming project.One of its key elements was the design of detailed, objective political scenarios for hypothetical events connected to issues of international security. The client decided that a foresight approach would be best suited – due to the need for objective results – but did not ask for the use of a specific methodology.

Our solution:

We conducted four decision-making games, based on the mechanics of simulating the actions of political stakeholders and analyzing the operational consequences of decisions and compromises. Civil and military experts took part in the game.

The effects from the client’s perspective:

Within a short time, the client received to-the-point, realistic and well-motivated political and operational scenarios for the specified geographic and strategic parameters. The project, partially due to the use of a collective intelligence, generated new hypotheses, of great importance for development plans.